Ye Cannot See the Wood for Trees.’

  In John Heywood’s ‘A dialogue Conteynyng the Nomber in Effect of all the Prouerbes in the Englishe Tongue.’ He wrote ‘Plentie is no deinte, ye see not your owne ease. I see, ye can not see the wood for trees.’

 The final two paragraphs below from a far longer anaylsis on The Oil Drum is worth investigation but we seem to have gotten ourselves into a position where, as John Heywood said ” We can’t see the wood for the trees”

Most current analysis is apocalyptic and all solutions proffered, trival, and although no easy answers will be found here, the reality will.  The reality that unless we solve the ‘One Planet Equation’ so that it includes the essential needs of all human society, the Earth will solve it dispassionately for us.

The Media, politicians and books such as ‘7 years to save the planet’  speak endlessly about the symptoms but nothing about the need to liberate the ingenuity to create the skills and knowledge required to enable the, wished for, low or zero carbon future.

Our failure in this respect is evidenced in Professor Hedley Beare’s book ‘Creating the Future School’, where he states ” Increasingly radical changes are expected due to advances in Information Technology in post-industrial economies and through globalisation”

The concept of a post-industrial society is a fallacy that can only be sustained within a limited range of products and services. The reality is that societies that lose the industrious ability to create, maintain and extend their infrastructure from within are doomed to wither and decay at best, and collapse at worst, in fulfilment of the comments below.


Financial Forecast for 2009, Considering Resource Limitations

…………………….Many people have started making preparation for the time when food needs to be produced locally and electricity is often not available. I would not discourage such preparations. While we do not know that the economy will collapse completely, I think such preparations are prudent, in the face of rising risk. Preparation for a major change takes many years, so starting earlier rather than later makes sense. Also, with the tower of debt (Figure 1) and the many feedback loops, the downward spiral can happen more quickly than our prior experience suggests is possible.

To solve our current financial problems, I expect that the United States (and other countries) will ultimately need a new financial system that is much less debt based. Such a system might start simply as ration coupons for food and energy products, and gradually be expanded to replace our current monetary system. Debt forgiveness and derivative write downs will also probably need to be part of the solution, but with the caveat that debt forgiveness and derivative write downs can be expected to have just as adverse an effect on the balance sheets of financial institutions as outright defaults. In conclusion, 2009 looks like to be a very challenging year for the new administration and for the world as a whole.


One comment

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s